Friday, May 25, 2018

Fast Forward to the Playoffs.

Other than #4, I wouldn't be surprised if all of these things are wrong:

"Even though the baseball season is barely two months old, it is not too early to draw some conclusions about this fun-to-watch (but otherwise possibly doomed) Yankee ballclub and they are these:


1. They will very likely win 100 games and, because of the extraordinary competitive imbalance in baseball, could even possibly surpass the team record of 114 set in 1998.


2. Presently leading the majors in homers, slugging and OPS, they are on pace for 272 homers, which would easily break the 1997 Seattle Mariners' all-time record of 264 homers in a season.


3. They are also on pace to become the first team in history with four players hitting 40 homers or more.





4. They are not going to the World Series with this starting rotation."

Let's see:
  • The Yankees will probably not win 100 games, forget about 115.
  • The imbalance of baseball is not extraordinary in any way. It's lame how everyone gets worried about this whenever the Yankees are good.
  • They are not going to easily break the all-time homer record.
  • At least one of the players on pace to hit 40 HRs will get hurt.
  • Starting rotations may not even matter in the playoffs anymore ... and the other teams are worried about their lineups and bullpens.

No one knows what will happen in the playoffs, even if one can semi-accurately predict what will happen in a longer stretch of games (June - September).

What bugs me about this subject matter is that it's not really a baseball analysis, it's a pointless search for a problem. Which is what many fans like to do.

The Yankee starters are not great, but it may not matter. Or they may pitch great in October while Chapman sits on his hands in the bullpen.

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