Thursday, July 30, 2020
It's time the U.S. started celebrating Christmas on December 25.
Monday, July 27, 2020
Not suddenly.
Sunday, July 26, 2020
Seventh of the depth chart? He's better than that.
Monday, July 20, 2020
Maybe I'm just mellowing in my old age.
Tuesday, July 14, 2020
Saturday, July 11, 2020
Tuesday, July 07, 2020
Sunday, July 05, 2020
Saturday, July 04, 2020
Tuesday, June 23, 2020
Everyone Loses
Monday, June 22, 2020
The more things change, the more they stay the same.
On Monday afternoon, the players voted against the owners’ most recent proposal, leaving it to commissioner Rob Manfred to mandate a season. He will likely try to set a schedule of 50 or so games. It doesn’t matter. This isn’t safe anymore. It probably never was.
Many of us have been distracted in recent days by calculating teams’ EBITDA when we should have been calculating states’ coronavirus case rates. I wrote last week that the owners are being intransigent. They are. But the news on Friday of COVID-19 outbreaks in Phillies camp, in Clearwater, Fla.; and in Blue Jays camp, in Dunedin, Fla.; and in Giants camp, in Scottsdale, Ariz., have made it clear: The labor issue is not the problem. The virus is."
Tuesday, June 16, 2020
Crisis Management
Monday, June 15, 2020
The Commissioner of MLB is doing a great job.
Thursday, June 11, 2020
A great article by Mike Lupica about Hank Aaron.
“I see kids out there,” he said. “I see black and white. But I see those kids. You know where the social change everybody’s talking about is going to come from? It’s going to come from them. Black or white. They’re the ones who are going to make the change that we need in our country.”
Finally the great Hank Aaron said this:
“I’m not able to move around much anymore. But if I could, I’d be out there marching. I’d be right there at the front of the line.”
Wednesday, June 10, 2020
Yes, I hope they play baseball this season. This is encouraging.
Monday, June 08, 2020
Living in the past.
Thursday, June 04, 2020
I have never heard anyone refer to Gary Sanchez as "El Gary."
Sunday, May 31, 2020
I think MLB will have a season.
"If that doesn't happen -- if they can't agree on a deal to play in 2020 -- baseball will become a loathed presence on North America's sporting landscape, scorned by many fans. The labor fight will merely be deferred, with escalation in some form all but assured because of the unresolved issues.
Next spring, with only months remaining in the current collective bargaining agreement, the players are more apt to use the threat of a strike. Owners, already damaged by the money losses this year, could be more inclined to dig in and wait out the players, aiming for a lasting reconstruction of baseball's financial model. The labor fight could go on and on, and by the time it all plays out, it's impossible to know how many fans, feeling alienated or disgusted, will leave baseball behind once and for all.
The only sure thing is that the owners and players will lose, unless they settle this standoff that risks mutually assured destruction.
So they have to make a deal. Right?"
We'll see.
I think fans are angry when forced to confront the truth about pro athletes.
"Fans, having accepted they will likely not be attending games at ballparks this year, want baseball, at the very least, to return to their daily lives through their television screens. Fans have seen, read and heard enough about the public back-and-forth between Major League Baseball and the Players Association to understand how this will play out
Money could end up being the reason baseball doesn’t return in 2020."
Oh no! Not money! Players are greedy? Owners are greedy? In 21st Century America? I'm shocked.
Listen up, poor people ... "middle class" people ... sub-millionaire front line losers. Rich people don't care about you other than your value as a consumer.
"The feud between MLB and the players may go on for another week, maybe even another month. It will go on as long as it takes for both sides to reach an agreement on salary and, to a smaller degree, health protocols. Major league players are the best at what they do, and they perform in a system that greatly rewards them for those talents. But the longer the groups squabble, the more they have to lose. For now, fans are following along closely. But the clock is ticking on the longevity of their enthusiasm for the sport."
I think they're going to play baseball this year.
The feud will be quickly forgotten; a short-term unnecessary PR hit. Forgotten until the next contract negotiations.
They'll play, alright. Half a season, goofy scheduling, empty ballparks, bad TV ratings after an Opening Day surge, and general difficulty trying to attract young fans, speed up the game, compete with other entertainment, and legitimize the results of an 80-game season.
Ultimately, it doesn't even come down to money. The virus will make the final decision.
At this point, it looks optimistic that the health concerns of the players can be mitigated. But we still don't know much about the virus and it could have a second surge throughout the planet, throughout the country, and surely throughout a baseball locker room.
Friday, May 29, 2020
Wednesday, May 20, 2020
This probably overstates the case in both directions.
On the other hand, MLB shouldn't act like nothing's wrong.
Casual fans aren't missing it too much.
Monday, May 18, 2020
Consider the source.
Saturday, May 16, 2020
The biggest star of the city is Mike Lupica.
Also, there is no such thing as biggest star of the city:
"The nickname for Aaron Judge, of course, is All Rise. Except he keeps sitting down, even though there is no Yankees right now and no baseball."
I get it!
His nickname is "rise" (like a judge, which is his last name), but he "sits" because he is injured.
The turns of phrase are truly genius.
"Judge looked like one of the biggest and brightest stars in baseball. He hit 52 home runs in 2017 and finished second in the MVP voting in the American League."
Correct.
It wasn't long ago.
"So he might have been lucky to get on the field 100 times, after he missed 50 games in 2018 and 60 games in 2019. I’ve pointed this out before, but you know when Mike Trout has missed 50 games in a season?
Thursday, May 14, 2020
Not sure how often I agree with Bob Nightengale.
Tuesday, May 12, 2020
Fifty percent of $0 is $0.
Surely, there is little public appetite for typical collective bargaining.
But I also don't think it's up to MLB players to give the country hope or put their own welfare at risk.
We know MLB players aren't essential.
You know how we know?
Because they aren't risking their lives on the front line:
“The problem is you have people all over the world taking pay cuts, losing their jobs, losing their lives. Frontline workers putting their lives at risk. These are unprecedented times."
These are very different outcomes, "taking a pay cut" and "losing your life."
I don't expect the players will take the PR hit complaining (too much) about pay cuts.
But they will demand safe working conditions and refuse to put themselves and their families at unnecessary risk.
The opinions of Rob Manfred, Tony Clark, and Mark Teixeira don't matter.
The virus gets the last word.
Thursday, May 07, 2020
The greatest play in baseball history?
An old, fat steroid cheat pitcher gets a lucky swing in a May game vs. the Padres.
I think (hope) Gary Cohen was being ironic when he excitedly called it the greatest moment in baseball history.
Thursday, April 30, 2020
Monday, April 27, 2020
Wednesday, April 22, 2020
Sad to say, I agree.
One optimistic scenario is fans FLOCKING back to stadiums and ballparks and theaters and releasing all the pent-up energy.
One pessimistic scenario is a re-organized stay-at-home/social distancing society.
MLB is a game of habit, as they say. The habit may have been broken for fans who aren't diehards.
Tuesday, April 21, 2020
Maybe they don't have to buy 100% of the team.
Interest rates are 0.00% I think.
Tuesday, April 14, 2020
Saturday, April 11, 2020
Reality sets in.
'No,' says Bergstrom.
And that’s really the end of the conversation. Even if we can start this, we almost certainly can’t finish it. Just look at South Korea and Japan, which both believed they had the outbreak under control and have since pushed back the start dates of their professional baseball seasons. In response to ESPN's reporting on the MLB biodome scenario this week, former Medicare and Medicaid head Andy Slavitt tweeted, 'I’m as big a sports fan as anybody, but this is reckless. Leagues need to follow the science & do the right thing.' "
Will MLB recover from a skipped season?
Friday, April 03, 2020
My first thought is Yelich.
Torres I'm hoping is the real deal, and I think he is, but he fattened his stats bigtime against the Orioles.
Alonso I don't know what to say ... I don't think it's anti-Mets bias ... I just think it's way too early to project him as a decade-long superstar ... and I don't know what MLB is going to do about the super-balls. I just have a hunch that the ball gets deadened and he hits 27 HRs instead of 50.
Wednesday, March 18, 2020
I don't agree at all.
The Yankees will benefit from the delay and so will the Mets.
Guess why?
You get one guess.
That's right.
Because they currently have players on the DL and this gives those players time to get healthy!
Well, guess what?
It also gives Verlander, Ohtani, and Sale time to get healthy.
The Yankees' biggest strength is their depth.
While lamenting their injuries last season, you can't ignore the fact that they won 103 games.
I'd put the under/over at 100 games played.
There is also a possibility the whole season will be cancelled.
I'd say it's a small possibility.
I also thought it was a small possibility that the Prime Rate would fall to 0.00 and my 401(k) would take a 35% "correction."
Now, I've got nothing against Tom Verducci ... and what is he supposed to write about when no baseball is being played?
His genius observations are that a shorter season would have an impact on the outcomes of the season ... in all the obvious ways you thought of right away.
Thursday, March 12, 2020
When you put it that way ...
Saturday, March 07, 2020
Bad news for Aaron Judge, the Yankees, Yankee fans, and the Yankee trainers.
No, I'm not reading another Lupica article about Alex Rodriguez.
I'm sure Lupica is right to some extent.
I don't understand ARod's resurgent popularity and ARod has no credibility when it comes to cheating. On the rare occasion I listen to what he's talking about, I find him somewhat inarticulate and unimaginative in his baseball analyses.
Why are we still talking about Alex Rodriguez?
ARod retired from baseball in 2016.
As news of Judge's stress fracture makes the rounds, here's an awesome take:
"If Aaron Judge can’t stay on the field this season, after missing a total of 110 games the past two, then Pete Alonso has a chance to be the baseball star of the summer."
Good on Pete Alonso!
I suppose Lupica means New York Only baseball star of the summer?
Which, of course, Alonso could be even if Judge is healthy?
So Pete Alonso is good is your point?
Can there be more than one New York baseball star of the summer in 2020?
Is Healthy Judge just going to steal the spotlight from Alonso, ruining Alonso's bid for baseball star of the summer?
Or can they both co-exist, along with several other stars of the summer?
Saturday, February 29, 2020
Wednesday, February 26, 2020
Thursday, February 20, 2020
Tuesday, February 18, 2020
Aubrey Huff's free speech rights are intact.
I actually tend to agree with Huff on this one. It sounds like an over-reaction by the Giants to satirical tweets.
Outside of SF, was anyone in the country clamoring for the 10-year anniversary of the 2010 Giants WS title?
Invite him to the reunion. He’ll stand in the corner and eat some pigs-in-a-blanket while wearing a JCPenney suit. This doesn’t need to be on the national radar.
Monday, February 17, 2020
Big names piling on the Astros.
I'm also quite surprised.
The odds are stacked.
So the odds are more than stacked up against Tebow, the former college football star at the University of Florida (2006-09) and three-year NFL quarterback (2010-12) who signed a minor-league contract with the Mets in September 2016. But he's back once again for his latest Spring Training with the Mets in Port St. Lucie, Florida, where Tebow embraces another opportunity."
Saturday, February 15, 2020
It's not you, it's me. I read his stuff, so I'm to blame.
Friday, February 14, 2020
Keeping Score
"As one scout this week told me, 'They'll win 90-95 games easy if Diaz figures it out again. And they should have a championship bullpen.'
Hard to argue."
My first observation is that 90 wins is a good season. Third place in your division.
95 wins is a playoff spot.
In the 2020 NL East, 95 wins seems like a stretch.
This kind of prediction also assumes that nothing else changes between 2019 and 2020. Like, we start with a baseline of 86 wins. Then Diaz is better, Betances helps, and that's 90 - 95 wins.
It may work out exactly like that.
No one knows.
But since we keep score on everything, I will predict it doesn't work out that way.
"Because if Diaz again becomes a reliable closer, the Mets should be monsters in the late innings, with newcomer Dellin Betances likely sliding in as the primary set-up man and Seth Lugo then available as an Andrew Miller-like wild card, helping to lock down games with multiple-inning outings wherever needed."
You just changed the parameters of the discussion.
It's not just Diaz who's going to single-handedly get you an extra 4-to-9 wins by being the most dominant relief pitcher in baseball history.
He's going to triple-handedly join an already-dominant bullpen.
Yeah, I'll buy that. If everyone on the Mets is good, then they will surely win a lot of games.
"'Potentially, and I say potentially with great caution,' said another scout, 'they've got a better pen than just about everyone -- even the Yankees. But obviously there's a lot of uncertainty, starting with Diaz.'"
An unnamed scout said it, so I guess it doesn't mean much.
Monday, February 10, 2020
How can a professional athlete not realize he is 25 pounds overweight?
Last year at this time, Troy Tulowitzki was going to hit 25 HRs and provide clubhouse leadership.
Saturday, February 08, 2020
So weird how the Astros cheating scandal has brought Pete Rose into the spotlight again ...
Gambling is worse than steroids or sign stealing.
Gambling is an existential threat to baseball. Sign stealing is not, and, as the 1990s proved beyond any doubt, steroid use surely is not.
No surprise that Trump's tweet is inaccurate ... Trump has no idea which teams Rose bet on ... and, obviously, this is not the point.
The point is that MLB does not need a manager who owes a bookie $250k and is looking for a way out.
Also, whatever you think of Giamatti's original punishment, Rose is his own worst enemy. Rose lied over and over and has never shown contrition to this day.
I kind of think Rose belongs in the HOF, unceremoniously, just so the world would shut up about him and move on. I don't think the HOF is for angels.
On the other hand, MLB is allowed to make its own rules. MLB is allowed to decide that gambling is the worst crime of all.
Somehow, this jerkoff overrated crook and statutory rapist has become a sympathetic, gritty, throwback hero to old, white men.
Maybe it helped more than I initially thought.
Maybe he's angry at the Mets for ignoring Buck Showalter?
Thursday, January 30, 2020
Ahead of his time.
He'd be ... he'd be ... Greg Bird.
Saturday, January 18, 2020
"It's worth remembering ..."
"You can start here with sign stealing in baseball, and this week’s historical fallout because of it: The ones who got sanctioned got what they deserved. They were no better than all the drug cheats in the sport who thought they’d never get caught until they did. Those were the players who knew what they were doing was wrong and against the rules and kept doing it, going for the needle or however they got their happy juice. Know why? Because cheating worked for them."
I mean, sure.
One notable difference, of course, is that zero players were punished this time around.
I personally think the punishments were surprisingly harsh, but, whatever. I took it as a pre-emptive strike by the Commissioner who will be unable to push back against a tide of technological advancements.
The late George Steinbrenner was suspended twice from baseball, by two different commissioners -- still a world record for an owner that might never be broken. He got it for illegal campaign contributions to the Richard Nixon campaign, and got it again for paying a gambler named Howie Spira $50,000 to dig up dirt on Dave Winfield, one of Steinbrenner’s star players. You know what happened after that. Steinbrenner came back: The Yankees won four World Series in five years and nearly made it five in six years, and when Steinbrenner died, he was regarded as the patron saint of the modern New York Yankees."
I'm not disputing any of this ... I mean, I didn't read the whole thing, but I get the gist.
The gist being Mike Lupica really hates the Yankees in general and ARod in particular.
"Yankee fans are always going to believe they got robbed in the 2017 American League Championship Series. Fair enough. But if it was cameras and garbage cans and sign stealing that beat them in that series, somebody please explain to me how the Astros knowing the Yankees’ signs kept the Yankees to three runs in the four games of that series played in Minute Maid Park."
Well, that is probably because the Cheating Astros had good pitchers?
Maybe the Cheating Astros were a better team than the Yankees?
Their title is not being vacated. I personally don't think the sign stealing makes that much of a difference. But the Astros also have lost the benefit of the doubt.
(One minor point that seems to be overlooked quite often is that the Yankees would have had to beat the Dodgers to actually win a Championship, but again, this is all Imaginary Baseball League.)
If you don't need to cheat to win ... well, you can finish the thought, you cheating cheaters.
Sir Lupica is a True and Just Guardian of the Game when the dishonest person is wearing Pinstripes.
When a dishonest person is on a team that beat the Yankees, this his focus shifts to the Yankees.
"Everybody gets the we-wuz-robbed mentality from the fans, and now from CC Sabathia. I get it, you get it, people in outer space get it. But before anybody around here gets too righteous about all of this, it’s worth remembering that when the Yankees won their last World Series, in 2009, their best hitter was Rodriguez. Who didn’t just have priors with performance-enhancing drugs, whether he ever tested positive or not, he had futures in the pipeline, with all his great and good friends at Biogenesis."
See?
I agree that lots of loudmouths are about to get thrown off of high horses.
But what do the 2017 Astros have to do with the 2009 Yankees?
As for the impact of ARod on the 2019 World Series, Hideki Matsui hit .615 in the 2009 World Series and won the MVP.
ARod hit .250.
But ARod was their "best hitter" ... and that tidbit is "worth remembering."
Second part first: Yes.
I'll send up 1,000 flares right now.
At this moment, the Astros are pondering ways to get away with stealing signs for the 2020 season. All 30 teams, actually. They're trying to figure out the line they're not allowed to cross and how to do everything right up to that line and then they'll occasionally cross it.
First part second: "The Astros are also looking for a new GM after leading the World Series 3 games to 2."
Yeah, but ... oh, never freaking mind.
It's the same reason Milli Vanilli never got another record contract.
Tuesday, January 14, 2020
Thursday, January 09, 2020
Tuesday, January 07, 2020
Saturday, January 04, 2020
Mike Lupica also thinks there is no way the Yankees will miss the playoffs in 2020.
It's almost as if this wacko journalist is saying the Yankees should be insulted by the notion that they have to win in the regular season.
Mike Lupica doesn't think the Yankees will make the playoffs in 2020.
As we prepare for our annual Mike Lupica preseason prediction that the Mets will win 100 games and take back the town from the Yankees ... a battle the Yankees don't even know they're in ... let's get an early January warmup:
"Nothing has changed since the Gerrit Cole signing, by the way.
Meaning what?
That you don't think the Yankees will make the playoffs?
Or that most baseball fans and observers think the Yankees will make the playoffs?
If you don't think the Yankees will make the playoffs, go ahead and say it. Then you get some sort of credit by those keeping score if you were correct with your bold prediction.
But you're not even talking about that.
You're talking about the reaction from the sports media.
Who you are chastising for making the obvious observation that the Yankees are expected to make the playoffs in 2020.
Last year, without Gerrit Cole, the Yankees won 103 games.
The Yankees play in a depleted AL East.
I therefore agree with the majority of people who think the Yankees are shoo-ins for he playoffs in 2020.
Normal disclaimers about injuries apply, but, you know what? The Yankees are very deep. I have no problem fast-forwarding he discussion to the playoffs.
"Man, Mets fans ought to be hoping that Josh Donaldson signs with anybody except the Nationals or the Twins."
Maybe it's an inside joke.
The Nationals, of course, are in the Mets' division.
The Twins?
Maybe I'm missing something obvious.
Why are we talking about Josh Donaldson?
Why are we talking about the Twins?
Why are we talking about the Mets recoiling in horror if Donaldson signs with the Twins in contrast to every other team?
Friday, December 20, 2019
A regular Nostradamus over here.
"Not giving odds here. This isn’t the sports book at Caesars Palace. No particular order for the rest of the field. But if the Yankees don’t win the World Series, who might?"
No.
It isn't the sports book at Caesars Palace.
The sports book at Caesars Palace has more integrity.
It's not even nine teams. It's nine teams "if the Yankees don't win." That's ten teams total. Out of 30.
I mean, unless you're trying to miss on purpose, one of these teams will almost certainly win the World Series.
"I just don’t believe in the Cubs, at least as presently constituted, and actually think the White Sox might be a more fun team to watch in 2020. I’ve seen too many postseason failures from the Twins against the Yankees to believe in them. The Red Sox are a lot of things right now. A serious contender doesn’t appear to be one of them."
Good to know.
At least it's an actual opinion, written down for posterity, without a hedge.
Mike Lupica does not think the Cubs or Red Sox are going to be good in 2020.
But why not just include the Cubs and White Sox and a few more teams while you're at it?
Bump it up to 12 or 13.
Heck, you can pick these teams randomly and you'd have a good shot at picking the winner.
Thursday, December 12, 2019
ARod's contract was worth it. Maybe not for the Rangers.
Today is the anniversary of ARod's mind-blowing Rangers' contract.
It's in the news.
According to this analysis ...
"The Yankees paid him $307.8 million for 12 seasons, 351 home runs, 2 MVPs, and one World Series trophy. In the end, the Yankees did get a lot of good production from Rodriguez, but it was also clear that they also got a lot of the bad as his production quickly fell off a cliff at the end."
The first comment I heard the morning after the Cole signing was, "Cole needs to win at least two rings with the Yankees."
Probably won't happen.
Rings, WAR, salary divided by WAR ... all of this analysis misses the main point.
As I've mentioned many times before, ARod's presence immediately pushed the Yankee attendance from 3 million to 4 million, and it stayed there.
It would not be inaccurate to describe the new Stadium as the House that ARod Built.
I'm relying on one guy (Mike Ozanian) to provide the data, and I didn't do all the work.
I'd like to see the rise in the Yankees' net worth year after year since that day in 2004 when they traded away Alfonso Soriano.
This is especially impressive in the context that the Jeter-led four-ring Yankees couldn't do the trick. It was the inexplicably entertaining Villain/Hero.
The Yankees are not a sports team, they are a brand.
The Yankees are not in the baseball business, they are in the entertainment business.
Of course the Yankee owners want a winning team ... because that means more people come to the stadium and walk around with $500 in their pocket.
Do you know how I know ARod's contract was worth it? Because people are still talking about it. In terms of tactical efficiency, I suppose it could be considered a bust.
But how many units did Hiroki Kuroda move?
How many people drove to the South Bronx to buy a Jon Lieber jersey?
Did anyone notice when Bob Abreu sunbathed topless in Central Park? (I have no evidence of this, but try to get the image out of your head.)
Is the Cole signing worth it?
Of course it isn't ... if you really think this is about baseball productivity and payroll efficiency
Come see me in nine years and I'm inclined to believe the Yankee Machine will be rolling along, stronger than ever.
Monday, December 09, 2019
Miller finally made the HOF.
Monday, December 02, 2019
There is no such thing as story of the decade.
"This all plays out a little over a month from when last season, and the last decade, ended with a tremendous World Series, won by the Washington Nationals in seven games after they trailed the Astros three games to two, and with the series returning to Minute Maid Park."
Which is a reminder that this is written by a guy who explained how important home field advantage is during the playoffs.
"So before we do turn the page, and before baseball does start making Hot Stove headlines, it is worth noting again that nobody had a better October in the past decade, not even the Cubs, than the Nationals did, starting with their National League Wild Card Game win against the Brewers."
No, I don't know what that could possible mean.
Every team that won the World Series had the Best October.
It's binary. You win or you do not win.
"Think of them as the Cubs without more than a century of waiting."
Then they're not the Cubs.
Follow?
The narrative is the same as the Cubs ... without the central theme that gave the Cubs a compelling narrative.
"Fact is, nobody ever had a better October in any decade."
Nobody ever had a better October in any decade than the Washington Nationals in 2019.
That's a "fact" according to the deranged author.
Then, there is a bunch of nonsensical interpretations of baseball games, by which the 2019 Nationals became the best October baseball team in the history of baseball.
Sunday, November 24, 2019
"People always say ..."
We go through this every year, over and over, and some people never learn.
Most people apply their personal economic rules to an infinite Corporation currently worth $3 billion.
The Yankees don't want to overpay for Cole or Strasburg.
Cashman has some vague upper limit based on the salary tax, but that's mostly PR.
Lupica's stupid observation is particularly moot since the Yankees only owe Ellsbury between $0 and $26 million.
Cole is going to get, say, 7 years, $225 million, escalator clauses, player opt outs, the whole shebang. If the Yankees really want him, the Yankees will not be outbid.
So, in the year 2027, Cole's salary will be $40 million ... and Cole will probably be washed up by that time.
Any team that signs this man to a long-term contract knows the risks involved. Or any long-term baseball contract, for that matter. Or any long-term anything, for that matter.
But the thing that's stopping the Yankees from pulling the trigger is a long-forgotten $5 million buyout of Jacoby Ellsbury?
No way.
"The books" Lupica is referring to aren't even the correct books.
The income statement is blah blah blah. The Yankees are far more concerned with the balance sheet.
Don't measure a 2-year $26 million contract vs. the $360 million the Yankees will spend on player salaries during those two years (even though $26 million doesn't sound like a heckuva lot when framed in those terms).
Instead, measure a 2-year, $26 million contract vs. $3 billion in assets.
"Don Mattingly belongs in the Hall of Fame.
Thursday, November 21, 2019
The question is ...
"Playing in New York is not for everybody And maybe Gerrit Cole will thrive in New York. But if you told me, as the top free agent on the market, and I'm a West Coast guy, and the Dodgers and Angels are sitting there drooling over me. I'm probably going to look there before I look at the Yankees. I think money being equal, he's not going to the Yankees. If the Yankees completely blow everyone out of the water, then he'll end up in pinstripes."
So Cole will not sign with the Yankees, unless he does.
Sunday, November 17, 2019
Gerrit Cole has never won a World Series.
Neither have a lot of big free agent players.
Difference is, for some reason, Cole is the Face of Successful Championship Megadeals.
Then, in order to support his current argument about the value of megadeals, Mike Lupica wrote the following, which seems to reverse his stance for the past fifteen years:
"Rodriguez had been with the Yankees since 2004, opted out of his old Rangers contract during the 2007 World Series, re-upped with the Yankees for the ’08 season. The Yankees won it all in 2009. They couldn’t have done it without him..."
Then Lupica just embarrasses himself, continuing his weird fascination with David Price"
"In the third season after David Price signed his contract with the Red Sox, they won another World Series. And absolutely, hands-down, 100 percent don’t win it without him."
The Red Sox don't win the World Series without David Price? How do you figure?
"Whether or not he’s always pitched like an ace since joining the Red Sox, when they needed him to pitch like a total star in the ALCS against the Astros, starting and relieving, he did that."
That's terrific.
He gave up 4 runs in 10 2/3 innings during the ALCS against the Astros.
You know how the Red Sox could have conceivably won without Price?
If they pitched a guy who gave up 3 runs in 10 2/3 innings.
Then the same observation about Scherzer. He signed a big contract, he pitched pretty well at times in the playoffs, and his team won the World Series.
I can list dozens of nobodies who pitched better than Price and Scherzer in small sample size crunch time.
- Lance McCullers Jr.
- Brad Penny
- David Weathers
Yeah, man. The Red Sox didn't need to pay David Price all that money to win the World Series. They just needed David Weathers and his 0.82 postseason ERA.
So what does this prove?
It doesn't prove anything.
I can find a list of players who fit a criteria and a list of accomplishments and there will always be a cross-section of the two lists.
Most of the time, megadeals don't pay off, if the sole goal is to win the World Series.
Not because the players are bad or because the deals are ill-advised. It's just because winning the World Series is difficult, only one team wins it per year, and one player can't win it all by themselves.
Friday, November 15, 2019
2019 NL MVP
BBWAA
| Name | Points |
| Cody Bellinger | 362 |
| Christian Yelich | 317 |
| Anthony Rendon | 242 |
| Ketel Marte | 198 |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | 155 |
| Nolan Arenado | 120 |
| Pete Alonso | 102 |
| Freddie Freeman | 90 |
| Juan Soto | 45 |
| Jacob deGrom | 44 |
| Josh Donaldson | 27 |
| Trevor Story | 26 |
| Jack Flaherty | 9 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 8 |
| Yasmani Grandal | 4 |
| Max Muncy | 4 |
| Stephen Strasburg | 4 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 4 |
| Hyun-Jin Ryu | 3 |
| Paul Godschmidt | 2 |
| Kolten Wong | 2 |
| Kevin Pillar | 1 |
| Max Scherzer | 1 |
Felz Poll
| Name | Points |
| Cody Bellinger | 25 |
| Christian Yelich | 24 |
| Anthony Rendon | 11 |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | 5 |
| Freddie Freeman | 3 |
| Pete Alonso | 2 |
2019 AL MVP
BBWAA
| Name | Points |
| Mike Trout | 355 |
| Alex Bregman | 335 |
| Marcus Semien | 228 |
| DJ Lemahieu | 178 |
| Xander Bogaerts | 147 |
| Matt Chapman | 89 |
| George Springer | 69 |
| Mookie Betts | 67 |
| Nelson Cruz | 62 |
| Gerrit Cole | 61 |
| Justin Verlander | 56 |
| Rafael Devers | 40 |
| Jorge Polanco | 20 |
| Austin Meadows | 15 |
| Francisco Lindor | 13 |
| Carlos Santana | 9 |
| Gleyber Torres | 8 |
| Eddie Rosario | 6 |
| Jose Abreu | 5 |
| Max Kepler | 2 |
| J.D. Martinez | 1 |
| Yoan Mondaca | 1 |
| Charlie Morton | 1 |
| Matt Olson | 1 |
| Jorge Soler | 1 |
Felz Poll
| Name | Points |
| Mike Trout | 27 |
| Alex Bregman | 22 |
| Nelson Cruz | 5 |
| DJ Lemahieu | 5 |
| Mookie Betts | 3 |
| Rafael Devers | 3 |
| Xander Bogaerts | 2 |
| Marcus Semien | 2 |
| Jorge Polanco | 1 |
MVP Votes
- Lemahieu made a nice showing with fourth place.
- Neither Machado nor Harper received one vote.
Wednesday, November 13, 2019
2019 NL Cy Young Award
| Name | Points |
| Jacob deGrom | 207 |
| Hyun-Jin Ryu | 88 |
| Max Scherzer | 72 |
| Jack Flaherty | 69 |
| Stephen Strasburg | 53 |
| Mike Soroka | 9 |
| Sonny Gray | 4 |
| Clayton Kershaw | 3 |
| Walker Buehler | 2 |
| Kirby Yates | 2 |
| Patrick Corbin | 1 |
Felz Poll
| Name | Points |
| Jacob deGrom | 25 |
| Hyun-Jin Ryu | 12 |
| Stephen Strasburg | 11 |
| Max Scherzer | 10 |
| Mike Soroka | 6 |
| Jack Flaherty | 3 |
| Josh Hader | 2 |
| Max Fried | 1 |
2019 AL Cy Young Award
| Name | Points |
| Justin Verlander | 171 |
| Gerrit Cole | 159 |
| Charlie Morton | 75 |
| Shane Bieber | 64 |
| Lance Lynn | 18 |
| Lucas Giolito | 8 |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 8 |
| Mike Minor | 7 |
Felz Poll
| Name | Points |
| Justin Verlander | 28 |
| Gerrit Cole | 21 |
| Shane/Justin Bieber | 8 |
| Mike Minor | 4 |
| Charlie Morton | 4 |
| Domingo German | 3 |
| Zach Greinke | 2 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 1 |
| Lance Lynn | 1 |
Saturday, November 02, 2019
I think Beltran will probably do a good job. Maybe. Who knows?
In the 2006 NLCS, he hit .296 with 3 HRs and a 1.054 OPS.
In the last out of the series, Adam Wainwright threw a Big Boy Major League curveball and Beltran struck out.
That's the whole idea of competition. There's a highly-skilled person on the other side who is paid a lot of money to achieve a result contrary to your goals. Nobody ever batted 1.000 in major league baseball.
Mets fans suffering from PTSD have more than "occasional grumbles" about this at-bat from 13 years ago:
"Beltran's tenure with the Mets between 2005 and 2011 wasn't all smooth sailing. There are still occasional grumbles about his looking strikeout to end the 2006 National League Championship Series. He later clashed with the team over the timing of his knee surgery in 2010, and he was thrown under the bus by owner Fred Wilpon in 2011. He was eventually traded to the San Francisco Giants during the latter season."
Tuesday, October 29, 2019
Young Yankee players were very productive when Joe Girardi was the manager of the Yankees.
Saturday, October 26, 2019
Cashman is smarter than you.
When the Astros or Nationals lose the World Series, will a reporter ask the GM why his team's season was a failure?
After three games in the Ultimate Test of the World Series, which starting pitcher has pitched like an ace?
I can state with no hesitation that Tanaka, Severino, and Paxton would have pitched better than any of them. I could be wrong about that, but this is not about right and wrong -- it's about confirmation bias.
Friday, October 25, 2019
Clayton Kershaw is the World Series MVP.
"They don’t have a single person in their front office from Harvard, Yale or M.I.T.
Thursday, October 17, 2019
Another moot point.
The World Series?
Riiiiiight.
Since the Astros scored zero runs in Game One ...
Fate.
Full stop.
Thanks for your most recent contribution to MLB.com's coverage of baseball.
"They beat the champions of the National League West and now they’ve swept the champs of the NL Central."
Yeah.
We know.
"They were down two games to one to the Dodgers and came back to win Game 4. They were down 3-1 in the late innings of Game 5 at Dodger Stadium, and then Anthony Rendon and Juan Soto hit back-to-back home runs against Clayton Kershaw, and Howie Kendrick began turning into Mr. October for the Nats."
Yeah.
We know.
Who do you think reads articles on MLB.com?
People who have no idea what is happening in MLB?
"Now here they are."
Waiting."
This article will surely help them whittle away their precious time.
"That’s the bad news for the Nationals, riding all this crazy momentum. They wait and keep waiting until the series between the Astros and Yankees is over. And while they wait, they hope that when they start playing again, at either Minute Maid Park or at Yankee Stadium, that they won’t have suffered from the Curse of the Tigers."
You've never heard of the Curse of the Tigers, have you?
Because it isn't a thing.
There is no bad news for the Nationals.
They are waiting to play in the World Series.
The following teams are waiting until April, and all of them would trade their No News for the Nationals' Bad News:
- Dodgers
- A's
- Rays
- Indians
- Cardinals
- Braves
- Twins
- Red Sox
- Mets
- Cubs
- Brewers
- Diamondbacks
- Phillies
- Reds
- Rockies
- Angels
- Blue Jays
- Giants
- Rangers
- Pirates
- Mariners
- White Sox
- Padres
- Marlins
- Royals
- Orioles
- Tigers
Wednesday, October 16, 2019
Almost a cheap home run.
The Yankees were not intimidated by Cole.
The Yankees got a lot of runners on base and in scoring position.
But the Yankees could not cash in.
Cole gutted out seven shutout innings and won fair and square.
"Almost home runs" are also known as "fly outs."
"Foul home runs" are also known as strikes.
"Almost strikes" are also known as balls.
"Almost wins" are also known as losses.
Oh, and bunting wasn't going to save the Yankees.
Gardner wasn't going to bunt in five runs in the first inning.
Monday, October 14, 2019
The sportswriter hall of fame must have a very high bar.
It is a lazy, meaningless observation:
"The Astros, who went out and got Zack Greinke at the Trade Deadline, were supposed to have the edge with starting pitching over the Yankees, who didn’t do anything about pitching at the Deadline. Then Masahiro Tanaka was brilliant in Game 1 of the American League Championship Series. Greinke got lit up by the Yankees the way the Rays lit him up in Game 3 of the Astros-Rays Division Series."
In all fairness, 3 runs in 6 innings is not being "lit up."
"Then the Yankees gave the ball to James Paxton, who’d been their best starter the second half of the season, in Game 2"
Then what happened?
"Only Aaron Boone pulled Paxton in the third inning. Paxton had only given up one run to that point, but there were two runners on and Alex Bregman was coming to the plate. Paxton was gone."
Wow!
Since I watched the game, I already knew this.
But please continue ... the tension is building!
"By the time Game 2 was over, Boone would have done what the Yankees have done since the Deadline: Made a bet that the best bullpen on the planet could carry the Yankees to what would have been their biggest victory of the season so far, and a 2-0 series lead."
The Yankees relied on their bullpen before the trade deadline, too.
You have not yet told me anything that I didn't know by looking at the box score.
"And his relievers nearly made that bet pay off. Boone used eight of them from the third to the 11th at Minute Maid Park. They only gave the Astros two runs from the third until the bottom of the 11th. By then, Boone was out of relievers and pitching J.A. Happ, who’d been one of his starters."
I knew it! I thought the whole time that J.A. Happ was one of the Yankee starting pitchers. I was right!
Sabathia, too! 'Member when he came in to pitch? He had (?) also been one of Boone's starters ... and he still is one of Boone's starters.
You know what else is weird? Boone wasn't actually out of relievers. Even though you said "Boone was out of relievers."
He just chose two of his starters instead of his relievers. It's true!
Granted, the remaining relievers are not the "high leverage" relievers. Their names are Luis Cessa and Tyler Lyons.
They are relief pitchers on the Yankees playoff roster, yes they are.
"Carlos Correa took Happ out of Minute Maid, and the Astros had won, 3-2, and the ALCS was even at 1-1 going back to New York."
No. Way.
Is that really what happened?
Is he the guy who was shushing the crowed while he rounded the bases? Or is he the guy who was holding his hand up to his ear while he rounded the bases?
Lupica is always first with the breaking news.
"So far in this series each team has gotten a big October game from its ace, Tanaka and then Verlander. But the Astros, who beat the Yankees because of their starters two years ago, have two aces this season. The Yankees? They decided they had enough starting pitching in July, because of their bullpen. Now they get the chance to prove it in October. They got the bullpen game they wanted Sunday night. They just did everything except win it."
You know what, Lupica?
Go screw yourself.
"The Yankees should have gotten a starting pitcher" late night WFAN moron caller garbage.
Who was the pitcher the Yankees were going to get?
Stroman? Meh.
Scherzer? Ridiculous.
Syndergaard? Even more Meh and even more ridiculous.
Say Anibal Sanchez with 20-20 hindsight and I'll slap you.
We all know aces are rare and therefore valuable.
What would it have cost the Yankees? Torres and Frazier, at a minimum.
For a guy who can take on Verlander pitch by pitch?
Even if that pitchers exists ... Buehler? Strasburg? ... obviously not available, but the Yankees would maybe have to throw in Sanchez, Urshela, Kahnle, Montgomery, and Andujar.
Remember when the Yankees picked up Encarnacion?
They didn't "need" more home run power, right?
The opportunity presented itself because the price was right.
The Yankees didn't "decide" they had enough starting pitching ... the market didn't allow them to reasonably acquire more starting pitching.
If the Rays were willing to trade Blake Snell for Greg Bird, Cashman would have been all over it.
The "bullpen" strategy worked in Game Two. The problem is the offense got two runs when they needed three.
Sunday, October 06, 2019
The most misunderstood stat.
Which is true.
Though not explored deeply, the intimation is that the Mets lost A LOT of games they "should have" won ... "would have" won if their bullpen was better.
Which, of course, is also true.
If any team was better at any aspect of the game, then they'd win more games.
But the stat itself is misunderstood.
Do you know how many blown saves the Yankees had in 2019?
28.
Ottavino had 7 blown saves. Probably in the 6th inning. The Yankees probably came back to win some of those games.
A blown save isn't what you think it is.
It's not always a 9th inning meltdown.
Though there is a stat which measures that. I think it's called "meltdown."
Diaz had some memorable whoppers. So did every team's closer.
Seth Lugo ... the "best reliever in baseball" had a save percentage of 54.5%.
Zach Britton is a good pitcher who had a good year.
His presence in the Mets bullpen is not turning an 86-win team into a 115-win team.
How weird is it that Gardner is batting third?
I looked it up just to make sure I remembered correctly.
.204 playoffs BA in 137 AB.
.000 WS BA in 10 AB.
Yes, he has been on the team a long time. The team has not made the World Series a lot during that time.
The Yankees take a 2-0 lead in the ALDS and I've heard the following complaints from both supporters and detractors.
- The games took too long.
- The rather contradictory observation that too many fans vacated their seats.
- The bullpen usage was not optimal.
- The fans were too quiet.
- The rather contradictory observation that the fans rowdily shouted "uber" at an opposing pitcher.
It's a little clever in the sense that it requires a deep knowledge of a nondescript major league pitcher.
It's obnoxious in the sense that it's quite clear that 90 percent of the people participating in the chant have no idea why they're doing it.
But that is sometimes part of the fan experience. You collectively and loudly celebrate the misery of your opponents.
I've heard a lot worse than "uber," believe me.
One time, in Minnesota, I remember when the fans referred to visiting player Mike Carp as a fish. Because his last name sounds like a fish. Vicious.
I also remember a time at Yankee Stadium when ... I can't remember who it was precisely, but it may have been Shannon Stewart ... sounds plausible early in his career ... and the fans in the bleachers were relentless for three hours ... "you have a girl's name" ... and the guy finally snapped in the ninth inning, turned around and flipped the bird to everyone in the bleachers.
As expected, that settled the fans down. They apologized for their obnoxious behavior, took their seats, and promised to refrain from drinking alcohol in public settings going forward.
Friday, October 04, 2019
Showalter is not going to manage the Mets next season.
Players who should not be the next Mets manager: Alex Rodriguez, Jacoby Ellsbury, Giancarlo Stanton, Aaron Judge, and Serena Williams.
I would be surprised if Showalter manages anywhere next year, but I'm not the Baseball Insider.
I'd be shocked beyond belief if Showalter managed the Mets next year.
Showalter's record doesn't hold up too well under scrutiny.
Lupica knows that Brodie isn't going to give up his decision-making power to an old school manager.
Showalter isn't shy about giving interviews.
Lupica doesn't need to do to print this garbage just to stay in good graces with the quote factory.
Wednesday, October 02, 2019
Good teammates.
Tuesday, October 01, 2019
Sunday, September 29, 2019
Does anyone remember when Judge hit his 50th? Breaking McGwire's rookie home run record?
I had to look it up: "Oh, yeah. McGwire." It's obvious when I looked it up, but I was thinking, like, Mel Ott. Just a guess.
Lupica is embarrassing himself with this stupidity:
"Pete Alonso already made himself one of the great home run stories in baseball history before he broke Aaron Judge’s all-time rookie home run record with No. 53 on Saturday night at Citi Field against the Braves."
You really don't see it?
How zero rookies hit 50 home runs for the first, like, 130 years of major league baseball?
Then two rookies hit 50 home runs in 3 years?
How this rookie record is going to last about 1 season unless they change the ball?
You're lying.
There's no way you don't see it.
You just worship Pete Alonso and his high school coach.
"But the narrative is different for him than it was with Judge."
Oh.
The narrative.
The narrative is the screwy aerodynamics of the baseball.
"There were already expectations for Judge by the time he got to Spring Training in 2017, even if nobody had any idea he would hit 52 homers that year."
So?
"No one knew how much game Alonso really had until he got to Spring Training. Then, he started hitting home runs in Florida ... and never stopped."
I find this hard to believe, even for Lupica.
Of course he never stopped. Nobody in MLB stopped.
"When Alonso hit his record-setting, 415-foot shot, it left him with just eight fewer home runs than Roger Maris’ 61 in 1961 and seven fewer than Babe Ruth’s fabled 60."
You can't be serious.
I have to stop reading this.
If you don't largely attribute this to the juiced ball, you are deranged.
You want to talk about baseball history and then you compare Pete Alonso to Mickey Mantle, Willie Mays, Roger Maris, and Babe Ruth?
In a season where two teams hit 300 home runs?
Let me explore a tiny bit of baseball history.
In 1927, Babe Ruth hit 6.5% of MLB's home runs. One man.
Do you know how many Pete Alonso would have had to hit in 2019 to match that percentage? About 450.
Which would be a whole lot for one man to hit in one season. It would be vastly superior to his peers, I can tell you that much.