Wednesday, May 04, 2005

Conspiracy Theory.

The current feeding frenzy is certainly justified when the Yankees are 11-16, but I still think the Yankees will get it together and make the playoffs. My advice is to buy Yankee stock now that it's so low. I still believe they're Citibank instead of Enron.

Predictions are stupid in baseball and in the stock market, but I've got another prediction: Kevin Brown will be released before his next turn in the rotation. While this is hardly an original thought, last night's debacle against the Devil Rays and his season ERA of 8.25 are not the clues.

The clue is that the Yankees decided to pass up Randy Johnson in the rotation, even though he's healthy enough to start. The Yankees are doing this so they can get Sean Henn his "major-league" debut against the Devil Rays.

This is not "playing it safe" with Unit; the Yankees are trying to build up Henn & Wang's confidence (or their trading stock) in low-pressure road starts vs. Tampa Bay. Then, they'll both either join the rotation or be immediately traded while they're still undefeated in the major leagues, before they head down the Ben Ford Highway to obscurity.

The Yankees are paying Brown's salary whether they send him out there every fifth day or not. No sense in throwing good money after bad and losing every fifth day. If he's gonna pull an '00 Cone, the Yankees can't afford it this time. A rotation of Unit, Mussina, Pavano, Wang, and Henn might have sounded ridiculous on April 1st ... but so did Tony Womack starting in left field.

Or maybe I don't have a clue. I also thought Jason Giambi would have a good year.

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